Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.532932 1.594051 1.657432 1.728292 1.805578 1.887634 1.981762
2025-12-21 1.446187 1.526349 1.612089 1.711258 1.823636 1.948065 2.097759
2025-12-28 1.402822 1.498148 1.602683 1.727051 1.872690 2.040112 2.250676
2026-01-04 1.373920 1.482153 1.603432 1.751385 1.929928 2.142594 2.422063
2026-01-11 1.333936 1.450130 1.582511 1.747228 1.950883 2.200739 2.541786
2026-01-18 1.303084 1.426410 1.569052 1.749795 1.978440 2.267102 2.676423
2026-01-25 1.259291 1.385049 1.532032 1.720680 1.963271 2.276042 2.732524
2026-02-01 1.229783 1.359270 1.512264 1.711299 1.971778 2.315401 2.833411
2026-02-08 1.201686 1.333898 1.491601 1.699223 1.975249 2.347095 2.924993
2026-02-15 1.175490 1.309766 1.471290 1.686236 1.976130 2.374341 3.011478
2026-02-22 1.159282 1.297199 1.464689 1.690317 1.999707 2.434560 3.155301
2026-03-01 1.129092 1.266291 1.433766 1.660874 1.975140 2.422535 3.179171
2026-03-08 1.107959 1.246623 1.417131 1.650575 1.977919 2.452825 3.280849
2026-03-15 1.086136 1.225421 1.397760 1.635647 1.973071 2.470800 3.362808
2026-03-22 1.078189 1.221451 1.400372 1.650430 2.011424 2.557962 3.581995
2026-03-29 1.073852 1.221825 1.408478 1.672854 2.061955 2.668506 3.865792
2026-04-05 1.059446 1.208782 1.398360 1.669217 2.072955 2.714807 4.028826
2026-04-12 1.048172 1.199450 1.392806 1.671653 2.093089 2.777835 4.239616
2026-04-19 1.026448 1.175996 1.367670 1.645151 2.066922 2.758486 4.261624
2026-04-26 1.012419 1.162306 1.355332 1.636620 2.068447 2.787947 4.403259
2026-05-03 0.998097 1.147911 1.341646 1.625607 2.065385 2.808742 4.528148
2026-05-10 0.984065 1.133606 1.327720 1.613745 2.060315 2.825329 4.646015
2026-05-17 0.976263 1.127340 1.324561 1.617487 2.080489 2.890213 4.906966